Thursday Pre-Game: #Marlins and #SFGiants to Open Four-Game Series Tonight

When the work week began, the Miami Marlins were a half-game ahead of the Washington Nationals by a half game, but after losing two of three from the Los Angeles Dodgers at Chavez Ravine, they sit in third place, a half-game behind the Nationals. No doubt, you’ve heard by now Jose Fernandez has been sidelined, and he’s scheduled to have Tommy John surgery tomorrow. Definitely a big loss for the Marlins, obviously because he’s a top MLB talent, and you consider he pitched into the sixth inning in six of his eight starts.The Fernandez-less Marlins still have the scary Giancarlo Stanton, who has enjoyed his time at AT&T Park:

I Split G GS PA H 2B HR BA OBP SLG BAbip tOPS+
MIA-Marlins Pk 147 144 618 165 44 38 .311 .406 .612 .379 126
SFG-AT&T Pk 14 14 62 19 9 4 .333 .387 .702 .366 138
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/15/2014.

It’s like a second home for the 24 year old from Sherman Oaks, CA. A safe over/under on the amount of times Stanton will dinger is 1.5, and I’m kind of surprised he’s “only” homered four times in fourteen games at AT&T.

As for the lineups, here we go for the Marlins, the team that is 4-15 away from Marlins Stadium:

The home team Giants, six games above .500 at 12-6 at AT&T:

Nathan Eovaldi, former Dodger, throws a pretty fast fastball. I had no idea until I looked at his player page to take a look at some of his averages on Brooksbaseball.net:

Screen Shot 2014-05-15 at 2.53.45 PM

So hitters will probably be looking fastball-slider the first time around, especially if Eovaldi isn’t getting ahead in the count. In his last game against the Padres, Eovaldi actually had a streak broken when he did not complete six innings pitched, only going five in that outing. Every start in 2014 thus far had seen Eovaldi complete those six innings. Eovaldi walking four in his last outing, when he had not walked more than two in previous outings, probably did not aid his cause. For the season, his 56.3% ground ball percentage is tied for sixth-highest amongst qualified MLB starters. If you’re curious, Tim Hudson is third-best at 61.7%.

Here’s the number of runs scored in each of Matt Cain‘s start in support of the horse: 4, 2, 0, 1, 12, 2. Two-thirds of his starts have been typical Matt Cain run production, and to ask Cain to allow 0 or 1 run(s) in his outing is a tall order to ask of most MLB starters. Today’s Matt Cain stat to note would be his splits:

Split PA H 2B 3B HR SO/W BA OBP SLG GDP BAbip
vs RHB 86 24 5 1 4 2.29 .316 .376 .566 2 .351
vs LHB 66 10 3 0 1 1.86 .172 .258 .276 1 .200
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/15/2014.

So far, so good against LHH. Not so much against the same-side.

Game time is 7:15PM PST, looking forward to the Marlins continuing their losing ways away from Miami.

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