Pre-Game: I Checked the Standings and the #Twins Weren’t in Last Place. Series with #SFGiants Begins Tonight

The social media world is abuzz over the Baltimore Ravens’ Running Back Ray Rice Press Conference where his wife apologized for the role she played in the incident, and rightly so. As long as the world continues to act like athletes are the holiest of the holy and the victim of being dragged on the floor of a hotel should be apologizing, we have ourselves a problem. On to more San Francisco Giants-related note, the second-place Minnesota Twins are in town, and they are two games over .500. The only thing I remember from the last time Minnesota visited AT&T was that time Madison Bumgarner pitched an inning and all of a sudden was down 8-0. That wasn’t fun. Hopefully, the 14-8 at home Giants can beat up on the 11-10 on the road Twins.

Here’s what the Twins will be throwing out there tonight:

HERE’S HOW THE GIANTS WILL LINE UP TONIGHT WITH TIM LINCECUM ON THE MOUND:

Not really sure why we’re screaming. I’m excited about Orange Friday, too, but goodness. Here are some quick facts about the Minnesota Twins players/team to get you ready for this series:

  • Brian Dozier is the 2B for the Twins and he’s been going nuts this year: a matching .370 OBP and wOBA with 11 HR and 12 SB already in 44 games played.
  • Kyle Gibson, Friday night’s starter, has a 0.5% difference between his K% (10.6) and his BB% (10.1)
  • The Giants have hit twenty more home runs than the Twins (55-35), but the Twins are .001 better in wOBA and 0.18 better in OBP than the Giants
  • The Twins have the third-highest ERA (4.51) in MLB, while the Giants have the fourth-lowest (a stone cold 3.16). There is a 0.38 difference in FIP between the Giants and Twins (3.59-3.97)
  • Glen Perkins, their closer, has a 34.1% K%, 12th-best in the bigs. Also has a 1.27 FIP, which is 5th-best. He’s good.
  • The Twins bullpen has had it’s shutdown moments and meltdown moments, being a Top-10 team in Shutdowns (42, T-8th), and a back of the pack team in Meltdowns (23, T-20th). The Giants are at 49 (2nd) and 20 (T-9th), respectively.

Here’s what I know about Kyle Gibson: I had him on my fantasy team and he was doing awful until he got dropped and then he did well. This kind of happening is also called “Fantasy Baseball.” Gibson throws his heat in the low-90’s and has seen his changeup receive the most punishment in terms of BA and SLG% against. Here are his game logs for you to look over:

Date Opp Rslt DR IP H ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB GSc
Apr 5 @ CLE W,7-3 99 5.0 3 1 4 3 0 0 1.80 21 97 53 16 8 8 56
Apr 11 KCR W,10-1 5 6.1 5 1 4 3 0 0 1.59 27 100 56 14 5 12 58
Apr 17(1) TOR W,7-0 5 8.0 4 0 1 4 0 0 0.93 28 105 62 22 5 13 77
Apr 22 @ TBR L,3-7 4 3.0 10 7 2 3 0 0 3.63 20 86 55 17 7 6 12
Apr 30 LAD L,4-6 7 6.2 9 5 3 2 0 0 4.34 33 101 59 14 3 15 35
May Opp Rslt DR IP H ER BB SO HR HBP ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB GSc
May 5 @ CLE W,1-0 4 7.0 2 0 3 1 0 0 3.50 25 100 56 15 4 6 71
May 10 @ DET L,3-9 4 2.0 7 6 1 1 1 0 4.74 14 48 26 5 4 7 18
May 16 SEA W,5-4 5 7.0 6 1 2 4 0 0 4.20 30 96 57 15 8 17 63
45.0 46 21 20 21 1 0 4.20 198
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/23/2014.

Pretty low number of swinging strikes (StS), with eight being the high number. Meanwhile, at the hittable fastball factory, Tim Lincecum‘s fastball is hittable. In comparing swinging strikes, you’ll notice Tim Lincecum has gotten into the double-digits in the majority of his starts, with the anomaly being the swing-happy and once-cold Atlanta Braves.

Date Opp Rslt DR IP H ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB GSc
Apr 3 @ ARI W,8-5 99 6.0 8 4 0 7 2 6.00 25 98 71 22 8 9 47
Apr 9 ARI L,3-7 5 4.0 7 7 1 5 2 9.90 20 71 44 14 6 2 24
Apr 15 LAD W,3-2 5 5.0 5 1 0 5 1 7.20 21 93 64 20 11 6 58
Apr 20 @ SDP W,4-3 4 6.0 7 3 3 7 1 6.43 25 102 56 19 10 9 50
Apr 26 CLE W,5-3 5 4.2 9 2 2 3 0 5.96 24 98 58 18 8 9 37
May Opp Rslt DR IP H ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str StL StS GB GSc
May 2 @ ATL W,2-1 5 6.0 6 1 3 4 0 5.12 27 93 62 11 12 5 57
May 7 @ PIT L,3-4 4 4.0 8 4 2 4 0 5.55 22 88 62 12 8 7 32
May 12 ATL W,4-2 4 7.2 3 1 4 11 1 4.78 28 113 70 16 24 8 76
May 17 MIA L,0-5 4 6.0 7 3 3 6 0 4.74 27 114 70 20 11 10 49
49.1 60 26 18 52 7 4.74 219
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/23/2014.

The positive I see is the one home run allowed in his last five starts (hashtag arbitrary endpoints), but those walk numbers are still high. One might expect this game to be of the higher scoring variety, maybe a 8-6 type game. I’m never good with guessing, so your prediction is probably better.

Take that, Buster Posey and David Wright.

First pitch comes at 7:15PM PST.

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