Idea: Rank the best individual seasons of the 2012 MLB regular season (Spring Training, Minor Leagues, and Postseason are not included), while considering offensive and defensive facets of the game.
Consider: Using the individual metrics to measure individual performance; full avoidance of projecting results for shortened seasons, and past years performance to justify or dictate standings.
This is not: “Most Valuable” anything. Rather, this is “best,” like Baseball America does, so there is no confusion as to what I am ranking. It is also not a “this is a ranking of who I want in 2013, or wanted in any other year.”
This is: My opinion, and will be disagreed with by many.
40. Jimmy Rollins (23 HR, 30 SB, .322 wOBA, 4.9 fWAR, 2.3 rWAR) – You’ve got the picture now that I love HR and SB when put up in big bunches, and J-Roll, though 33 already, still’s puttin’ out.
39. Miguel Montero (15 HR, 25 2B, .364 wOBA, 5.0 fWAR, 3.7 rWAR) – Wouldn’t be surprised if Arizona fans feel MM is underappreciated. Definitely not talked about as much when we talk about “good catchers.”
38. Chris Sale (192.0 IP, 9 K/9, 4.06 tERA, 4.9 fWAR, 4.2 rWAR) – Turning 24 at the end of March, some scouts worry about this guy’s delivery, but hopefully Sale will continue to produce and not get injured.
37. Prince Fielder (30 HR, 33 2B, .398 wOBA, 4.9 fWAR, 4.4 rWAR) – Yea, defense kills him also, but that offense is just so hot, it’s no wonder he’s locked up through 2020.
36. Bryce Harper (22 HR, 18 SB, .352 wOBA, 4.9 fWAR, 5.0 rWAR) – Kid turned 20 in October. Really tried to not use his age to rank, but I might be guilty of that here.
35. Yu Darvish (191.1 IP, 10.4 K/9, 4.02 tERA, 5.1 fWAR, 4.0 rWAR) – Not a bad campaign for the “rookie” out of Sendai, and this is probably the guy I wish I would have watched more of. Maybe this year I’ll do that.
34. Joe Mauer (10 HR, 31 2B, .376 wOBA, 5.0 fWAR, 4.1 rWAR) – Just hoping Head & Shoulders is back in the game and ready to mash, especially with that monster contract of his.
33. Matt Holliday (27 HR, 36 2B, .378 wOBA, 5.1 fWAR, 3.9 rWAR) – Who’d have thunk that Holliday would be higher on this list than old buddy Pujols in 2013? Certainly not me.
32. Stephen Strasburg (159.1 IP, 11.13 K/9, 3.34 tERA, 4.3 fWAR, 2.7 rWAR) – Ranking SS was very tough because it’s not his fault the Nats shut him down, and I tried not to extrapolate what he was going to do and just take what he did and rank that. Could be too high, considering most everyone else got through the full season. Maybe it’s just right.
31. Carlos Ruiz (16 HR, 32 2B, .398 wOBA, 5.5 fWAR, 4.4 rWAR) – For how long he was using a substance to help him focus is unknown to me, and maybe it was helping him all year, but that’s not something I feel comfortable speculating on.
30. Torii Hunter (16 HR, 24 2B, .356 wOBA, 5.3 fWAR, 5.5 rWAR) – I do feel kind of bad for him with how things ended in Anaheim, but I think he’ll be happy in Detroit.
29. Austin Jackson (16 HR, 10 3B, .371 wOBA, 5.5 fWAR, 5.2 rWAR) – Someone said to me in the midst of the World Series the Tigers only had two guys in their lineup to fear. Austin Jackson then started his Rodney Dangerfield act, pointing to his regular season numbers.
28. Ian Desmond (25 HR, 21 SB, .362 wOBA, 5.4 fWAR, 3.2 rWAR) – Really difficult to decide between him, Jackson, and Hunter, but the 20-20 thing is just too sexy.
27. Giancarlo Stanton (37 HR, 30 2B, .405 wOBA, 5.8 fWAR, 5.4 rWAR) – He will enter his age 23 season in 2013, and he did all that in 501 plate appearances. Scary to think that he could get stronger.
26. Martin Prado (10 HR, 17 SB, .345 wOBA, 5.9 fWAR, 5.4 rWAR) – Often overlooked because he doesn’t clear the fence more often, Prado is a solid utility player that hasn’t quite seen his payday yet, but hopefully he will get his.
25. Alex Gordon (14 HR, 51 2B, .357 wOBA, 5.9 fWAR, 6.2 rWAR) – I could see people having a beef with me ranking Gordon too low, but if he gets stronger, those doubles might be going down and turning into dingers.
24. Zack Greinke (212.1 IP, 8.48 K/9, 3.58 tERA, 5.1 fWAR, 3.3 rWAR) – The lefty has a new home in LA, but made due with the Milwaukee and other “LA” team he worked for in 2012
23. Ben Zobrist (20 HR, 14 SB, .365 wOBA, 5.9 fWAR, 5.5 rWAR) – Another year of Ben playing multiple positions, and he still churns out the numbers that make him a solid attribute to the club. Good thing they have two team options on him for 2014 and 2015.
22. Joey Votto (44 2B, 19.80% BB%, .438 wOBA, 5.9 fWAR, 5.6 rWAR) – Even if he wasn’t 100%, he still ended up being a big contributor to the NL Central Champs.
21. Gio Gonzalez (199.1 IP, 9.35 K/9, 3.34 tERA, 5.4 fWAR, 4.5 rWAR) – Homey needs to bring that walk rate down, but to have this guy and him not be the #1 in your staff is pretty telling of what the Nationals have.
Four consecutive series with teams in the top two of their division have made/will make for more exciting baseball around the Bay, but things are about to get hot, especially if you’re going to go to check out the boys in DC and Pittsburgh. The Nationals have just got off of playing in Colorado and Atlanta, and their bats were certainly alive and well. This will be a series the nation has their eyes on as the NL West and NL East leaders square off in the nation’s capital.
Tuesday, July 3rd: RHP Tim Lincecum vs. RHP Jordan Zimmerman
One sentence summary: The biggest thing Giants fans may be talking about is not necessarily the pitchers, but that Hector Sanchez may bump Brandon Belt out of the lineup, whose bat was loud against the Reds.
Wednesday, July 4th: LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. RHP Edwin Jackson
One sentence summary: 8AM PST start should keep things cooler, but the North Carolina boy shouldn’t find anything foreign about that summer weather.
Thursday, July 5th: RHP Matt Cain vs. LHP Ross Detwiler
One sentence summary: Detwiler has the lowest LD% of the starters at 13.4%, so hopefully the solid contact the Giants get is very loud.
Small Sample Sizes (Last 7 Days) and Overall Numbers
The Nationals have 13 HR from their players in the last seven, while the Giants have had only 2. Does it help to have faced Colorado? Sure, but you still have to hit ’em. Ian Desmond (.568 L7 wOBA, .340 wOBA overall), Michael Morse (.520, .317), Jesus Flores (.505, .284), Tyler Moore (.493, .437 in 68 PA), and Ryan Zimmerman (.485, .291) have all been smiles recently but as you see, most of these guys might be due for some cooling down once they face the likes of Timmy, MadBum, and Cain. The star prospect turned starting OF Bryce Harper (.247, .356) will have a challenge on his hands in getting back on track, even as he has 8 HR already (would be 2nd on the Giants to Buster).
The Giants haven’t had anyone with nearly as ballooned wOBA as the five Nats listed earlier, and you may know Buster (.441, .367) has been the guy doing the most damage, but he’s also grounded into 3 double plays in the last 7 (11 overall). Melky also has a decent wOBA going both in his last 7, and overall (.419, .390), and is one of the two guys that has homered in the past week (Pablo being the other). Gregor Blanco’s actually been flying out to the infield in nearly half his AB in the past week (42.9%), and the guy who we got to read about today in Carl Steward’s article has actually been kind of lackluster recently with the stick (.194, .267). Both squads will have their hands full with the guys opposing them on the mound during this mid-week series.
You may have noticed that these three games will all be solid matchups, and you may have heard that the Giants don’t even get to face Stephen Strasburg or Gio Gonzalez during their time in DC! Does not mean this series will be easy, just not as difficult on paper.
Tuesday: Giants win (just enough offense to support Timmy)
Wednesday: Giants win (MadBum makes All Star case)
Thursday: Nationals win (Cain doesn’t bounce back just yet)
Should be an exciting series for the baseball fan, but the organizational fan might find their hands on their heads more often than not.